Trump Administration Actions and Potential Impact on Transport Decarbonization

This is a summary of the high-level changes announced by the White House, EPA and other related agencies and their potential impact on the transport sector, with an emphasis on decarbonization / emissions abatement. This is an evolving story so this will be refined on a periodic basis.

MOBILITYNOTES MEMBERS: Scroll below for a downloadable summary, which includes more details on the anticipated impact of these changes.

Topic

Proposed Change

Endangerment Finding

 

Jan 20th Executive Order directs the Administrator of the EPA to “submit joint recommendations to the Director of OMB on the legality and continuing applicability” of the GHG Endangerment findings previously published under the 2009 final rule.

The EPA will eliminate the “social cost of carbon” calculation from any regulatory decision.

California Waivers

 

Citing the failure of the Biden administration to alert Congress on rules with “extremely consequential actions that have massive impacts and costs across the entire United States”, the Trump EPA is submitting waivers for several of California’s emission standards to Congress.

Removal of EV mandates and incentives

The Jan 20th Executive Order eliminates mandates and subsidies which unfairly promote EVs over gas-powered vehicles.

It also directs agencies to develop action plans to suspend, revise, or rescind all agency actions that limit consumer choice of vehicles.

Encouragement of domestic energy

Revoked Executive Order 14008 of January 27, 2021 which committed the US to the Paris agreement and established goal of decarbonizing the electricity sector by 2035.

Jan 20th Executive Order directs agencies to review all recent actions which limit the development of domestic energy resources – oil, natural gas, coal, hydropower, biofuels, critical minerals, and nuclear

Establish US as leading producer of non-fuel minerals including rare earth minerals.

De-Funding BIL/IRA

All grants and loans disbursed through the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) are frozen.

Tariffs

 

25% additional tariffs announced on “all” imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% additional tariff on imports from China.

The USTR is currently taking comments on these proposed actions.

Trump has signaled 25% tariffs on imported automobiles starting April.

Environmental Justice

 

The administration has revoked Executive Order 14096 of April 21, 2023, which mandates that all executive branch agencies incorporate environmental justice into their missions and decision-making processes and created the White House Office of Environmental Justice.

The EPA has put placed nearly 200 people working on EJ programs on leave.

Staffing Changes

Implemented under the “workforce optimization initiative” by the newly formed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), workers at EPA, DOE and NHTSA are being laid off. These cuts are starting with employees on probationary status.

MEMBERS ONLY: Download document below for more details, it includes the anticipated impact on transport decarbonization. 

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