Category: Electrification

A tale of two EV Outlooks

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What’s better than a long-term EV outlook? Two outlooks, both published in the same month. Here’s a quick comparison of some of the important aspects pertinent to the rate of electric vehicle uptake.

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Battery Costs

A good review of lithium-ion battery cost reductions

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This publication by Micah Ziegler and Jessika Trancik from MIT explores the correlation of the decline in price with improved technology (Moore’s Law), cumulative production (Wright’s Law), annual production (Goddard’s Law) and R&D activity as measured via patent filings.

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Electric and hybrid penetration by 2030 based on new CO2 targets

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The EU has published the “Fit for 55” proposal which will require 55% reduction in tailpipe CO2 by the end of the decade. The Biden administration will also revise the SAFE standards and has announced a 50% electrification target by 2030 (including plug-in hybrids). Here is a look at the implications for powertrain scenarios based on the CO2 targets alone.

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